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Red60
6021.4
802214.3
238330.8
Blue49
418328.9
138820.2
385916.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604601001506049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.2
26.926.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End7.2
red by 2.0
4183
#18
28.90.3
20.821.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End11.2
Second
60
#12
21.40.2
19.319.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End8.4
red by 1.1
1388
#17
20.20.2
14.715.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Third
8022
#19
14.37.3
15.27.9
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End4.5
blue by 2.6
3859
#23
16.80.2
9.810.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsEarned