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Red38
49828.2
580014.2
70776.4
Blue12
54299.8
68259.8
74235.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46270204060801001203812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
28.20.2
23.022.8
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
red by 18.3
6825
#26
9.81.7
8.66.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Second
5800
#32
14.20.3
9.18.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End6.6
red by 4.5
5429
#34
9.81.7
10.89.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End2.9
Third
7077
#33
6.40.3
8.88.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End1.8
red by 1.1
7423
#36
5.31.1
5.36.4
Auto0.7
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed