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Red33
138820.2
71835.5
838710.3
Blue75
330923.5
504914.0
49828.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3756020801001203375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#17
20.20.3
15.214.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
blue by 7.9
498
#4
28.21.4
23.324.7
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
Second
8387
#24
10.30.5
13.813.3
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End5.4
blue by 13.2
3309
#13
23.51.4
18.019.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End6.7
Third
7183
#41
5.50.5
8.27.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 8.5
5049
#27
14.02.3
8.711.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned