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Red14
68242.9
87207.3
641516.6
Blue87
441545.3
74235.3
210229.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2582040601001201401601487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6415
#30
16.61.8
12.510.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End7.8
blue by 28.7
45.31.2
42.043.2
Auto12.1
Teleop20.0
End13.2
Second
8720
#40
7.31.8
7.45.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End1.4
blue by 22.3
29.61.2
20.421.6
Auto11.1
Teleop11.1
End7.4
Third
6824
#43
2.91.8
10.78.8
Auto1.1
Teleop2.2
End-0.3
blue by 2.4
7423
#36
5.31.9
7.29.1
Auto0.7
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned