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Red39
385916.8
74229.6
99116.5
Blue87
98748.8
473823.3
808712.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2479040601001203987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#23
16.80.7
9.19.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End5.9
blue by 32.0
987
#2
48.81.1
41.742.7
Auto14.0
Teleop22.4
End12.4
Second
991
#31
16.50.7
10.210.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.4
End4.8
blue by 6.8
4738
#16
23.31.3
15.917.2
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End2.1
Third
7422
#42
9.61.1
9.911.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
blue by 2.9
8087
#35
12.51.1
9.410.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned