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Red70
432217.7
9888.3
473823.3
Blue69
138820.2
641516.6
580014.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434201001502007069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#16
23.31.7
18.019.7
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End2.1
red by 3.0
1388
#17
20.22.0
19.921.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Second
4322
#15
17.71.7
16.818.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.2
red by 1.1
6415
#30
16.63.3
9.512.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End7.8
Third
988
#37
8.32.9
5.28.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 5.9
5800
#32
14.23.3
10.013.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned