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Red55
76549.2
808712.5
238330.8
Blue24
74235.3
330923.5
65197.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5637020801005524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.1
30.130.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End7.2
red by 7.3
3309
#13
23.51.1
21.320.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End6.7
Second
8087
#35
12.50.1
11.411.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End5.6
red by 5.4
6519
#38
7.21.9
8.36.4
Auto1.0
Teleop3.2
End3.0
Third
7654
#39
9.20.1
8.38.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End0.5
red by 3.9
7423
#36
5.31.9
7.35.5
Auto0.7
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed