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Red37
71835.5
70776.4
300920.5
Blue41
68215.6
385916.8
800512.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3732010205060703741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#14
20.50.2
18.018.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End9.1
red by 3.6
3859
#23
16.80.7
11.412.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End5.9
Second
7077
#33
6.40.4
6.97.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End1.8
blue by 6.5
8005
#25
12.91.2
13.014.2
Auto6.0
Teleop3.2
End3.7
Third
7183
#41
5.50.4
9.09.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 0.1
6821
#44
5.60.7
5.96.6
Auto1.9
Teleop0.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsEarned