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Red30
54299.8
65197.2
641516.6
Blue39
76549.2
432217.7
838710.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284101020506070803039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6415
#30
16.60.2
12.812.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End7.8
blue by 1.1
4322
#15
17.70.1
18.618.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.2
Second
5429
#34
9.80.2
8.68.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End2.9
blue by 0.5
8387
#24
10.30.2
9.910.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End5.4
Third
6519
#38
7.20.2
6.46.2
Auto1.0
Teleop3.2
End3.0
blue by 2.0
7654
#39
9.20.2
8.48.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed