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Red64
800512.9
74235.3
98748.8
Blue39
585118.4
6021.4
68215.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7248204060801001206439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
48.80.3
44.744.5
Auto14.0
Teleop22.4
End12.4
red by 27.4
60
#12
21.40.9
22.721.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End8.4
Second
8005
#25
12.90.5
14.213.7
Auto6.0
Teleop3.2
End3.7
blue by 5.5
5851
#21
18.40.9
18.817.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End9.0
Third
7423
#36
5.30.5
5.55.0
Auto0.7
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 0.3
6821
#44
5.60.9
6.65.7
Auto1.9
Teleop0.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsMissed