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Red26
70776.4
68215.6
138820.2
Blue89
65197.2
742515.6
441545.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337602040601001202689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#17
20.21.0
22.421.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
blue by 25.0
45.31.5
44.546.0
Auto12.1
Teleop20.0
End13.2
Second
7077
#33
6.41.5
8.87.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End1.8
blue by 9.2
7425
#20
15.62.2
14.817.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.8
Third
6821
#44
5.61.0
5.14.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.8
End2.9
blue by 1.6
6519
#38
7.22.2
6.89.0
Auto1.0
Teleop3.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsEarned