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Red25
9888.3
113821.8
74235.3
Blue53
871710.1
664716.2
699529.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33660204060801001202553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.7
20.319.6
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End6.7
blue by 8.0
29.80.3
27.527.3
Auto8.2
Teleop8.1
End13.4
Second
988
#37
8.31.0
11.110.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 7.9
6647
#10
16.20.3
15.715.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Third
7423
#36
5.31.0
4.03.0
Auto0.7
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 4.8
8717
#29
10.10.4
14.113.7
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsEarned