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Red70
113821.8
664716.2
742414.5
Blue39
76549.2
800512.9
138820.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52482030406070807039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.4
19.621.0
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End6.7
red by 1.5
1388
#17
20.20.4
21.521.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Second
6647
#10
16.21.4
15.416.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
red by 3.3
8005
#25
12.90.6
14.413.8
Auto6.0
Teleop3.2
End3.7
Third
7424
#22
14.51.9
13.415.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.6
End5.9
red by 5.3
7654
#39
9.20.6
9.99.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed