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Red30
808712.5
71835.5
802214.3
Blue63
87207.3
418328.9
240331.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297702040601001201403063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8022
#19
14.30.7
14.313.6
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End4.5
blue by 17.0
31.20.2
30.730.5
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Second
8087
#35
12.50.5
13.112.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End5.6
blue by 16.3
4183
#18
28.90.2
28.027.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End11.2
Third
7183
#41
5.50.7
6.25.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 1.8
8720
#40
7.30.3
7.67.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed