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Red84
742627.9
699529.8
74235.3
Blue91
68215.6
441545.3
99116.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59702040801001201401608491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.81.8
27.329.0
Auto8.2
Teleop8.1
End13.4
blue by 15.5
45.31.5
46.047.6
Auto12.1
Teleop20.0
End13.2
Second
7426
#11
27.91.8
26.928.7
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End9.8
red by 11.4
991
#31
16.51.5
13.915.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.4
End4.8
Third
7423
#36
5.32.4
3.05.3
Auto0.7
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 0.3
6821
#44
5.61.5
4.15.6
Auto1.9
Teleop0.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsEarned