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Red66
395022.7
279130.4
33313.3
Blue0
26324.4
317125.9
744418.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6872020406080100120660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.1
29.629.5
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
red by 4.6
3171
#8DQ
25.90.1
25.325.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End6.2
Second
22.70.1
21.921.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End7.0
blue by 1.7
263
#23DQ
24.40.1
23.823.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End12.6
Third
333
#19
13.30.1
12.512.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
blue by 5.0
7444
#18DQ
18.30.1
17.817.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End8.0