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Red110
87049.7
69441.3
286916.5
Blue71
395022.7
279130.4
33313.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126625010015020011071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#2
49.70.4
50.650.3
Auto10.7
Teleop31.7
End7.3
red by 19.3
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Second
694
#1
41.30.4
42.241.9
Auto13.2
Teleop17.9
End10.3
red by 18.6
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End7.0
Third
2869
#22
16.50.4
17.517.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End5.8
red by 3.2
333
#19
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8