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Red70
69441.3
5339.7
155411.9
Blue47
529811.5
52723.7
77598.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5843020801001201407047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
41.31.2
30.831.9
Auto13.2
Teleop17.9
End10.3
red by 17.6
527
#9
23.70.3
23.423.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End11.2
Second
1554
#24
11.92.0
10.512.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End2.7
red by 0.4
5298
#40
11.50.5
9.910.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Third
533
#37
9.71.2
11.012.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
red by 1.6
7759
#33
8.10.5
8.89.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsMissed