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Red10
87397.9
680613.7
88410.2
Blue28
55992.8
51414.8
2717.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34240204060801001028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6806
#12
13.71.7
13.511.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.4
blue by 1.1
514
#11
14.80.3
11.411.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Second
884
#30
10.22.8
7.44.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
red by 2.8
271
#38
7.40.3
4.75.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Third
8739
#29
7.92.8
10.07.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End1.0
red by 5.0
5599
#34
2.80.4
8.18.5
Auto0.6
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed