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Red26
69697.1
287515.2
4269.5
Blue46
33313.3
55992.8
573626.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29510204060802646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
#16
15.20.8
14.713.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.2
blue by 11.7
26.90.1
21.121.2
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End5.4
Second
426
#27
9.51.3
9.38.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 3.9
333
#19
13.30.1
15.415.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
Third
6969
#31
7.11.3
6.04.6
Auto1.6
Teleop3.5
End2.0
red by 4.3
5599
#34
2.80.1
8.58.6
Auto0.6
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsMissed