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Red51
73188.6
26324.4
287223.7
Blue72
529811.5
317125.9
279130.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5272204060801001205172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#23
24.40.0
21.021.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End12.6
blue by 6.1
30.40.5
28.929.4
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Second
2872
#14
23.70.0
19.519.5
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End2.6
blue by 2.1
25.90.5
25.826.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End6.2
Third
7318
#35
8.60.0
10.710.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 2.9
5298
#40
11.50.8
10.411.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsEarned