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Red54
179628.3
33313.3
56414.1
Blue40
51414.8
155411.9
17516.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603302040801005440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#10
28.30.3
26.626.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.7
End1.3
red by 13.5
514
#11
14.80.2
15.014.8
Auto5.8
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Second
564
#17
14.10.3
14.614.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End4.2
red by 2.2
1554
#24
11.90.3
12.712.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End2.7
Third
333
#19
13.30.2
12.011.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
red by 6.8
1751
#41
6.50.3
7.06.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed