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Red32
317125.9
77598.1
88410.2
Blue82
395022.7
279130.4
509913.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4768204060801003282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.0
27.026.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End6.2
blue by 4.6
30.41.4
29.330.7
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Second
884
#30
10.21.5
10.08.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 12.5
22.71.4
21.122.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End7.0
Third
7759
#33
8.11.5
10.18.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 4.9
5099
#25
13.01.4
10.912.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsMissed56%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsEarned