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Red40
63009.9
36244.9
501615.9
Blue31
287513.6
15468.4
445819.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31490204060804031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5016
#10
15.90.6
12.513.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 3.7
19.60.9
19.818.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End5.7
Second
6300
#28
9.90.6
11.712.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
blue by 3.8
2875
#26
13.61.3
13.512.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Third
3624
#39
4.90.9
7.48.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End-0.2
blue by 3.6
1546
#17
8.41.4
10.79.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsMissed