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Red69
509910.6
202710.7
87042.4
Blue49
565913.4
234720.4
216113.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674002060801001206949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#1
42.40.6
40.040.6
Auto9.9
Teleop25.8
End6.7
red by 22.0
2347
#11
20.40.8
17.518.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End12.0
Second
2027
#38
10.70.9
10.611.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End3.8
blue by 2.9
2161
#27
13.70.8
11.712.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End5.7
Third
5099
#33
10.60.9
8.99.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 2.8
5659
#16
13.40.9
11.612.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned