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Red35
445819.6
63009.9
45677.8
Blue42
826712.5
54511.1
573620.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453902060801003542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.7
18.918.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End5.7
blue by 1.3
20.90.0
17.517.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.9
End3.7
Second
6300
#28
9.90.7
12.311.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
blue by 2.6
8267
#22
12.50.0
10.610.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End0.2
Third
4567
#31
7.81.0
10.69.6
Auto0.5
Teleop4.5
End2.8
blue by 3.3
545
#29
11.10.0
9.49.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed