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Red51
286911.0
287513.6
146825.9
Blue36
317124.8
51411.1
36244.9
48%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474830405060705136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.6
22.222.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.9
End5.0
red by 1.2
24.81.2
25.524.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End6.2
Second
2875
#26
13.60.6
12.212.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End1.5
red by 2.5
514
#19
11.11.3
10.79.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Third
2869
#23
11.00.7
10.210.9
Auto4.2
Teleop1.9
End4.9
red by 6.1
3624
#39
4.91.2
8.37.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed