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Red57
287218.6
51411.1
501615.9
Blue33
573620.9
75669.9
63009.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141354550555733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#18
18.61.7
16.117.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.0
End3.9
blue by 2.3
20.90.8
17.516.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.9
End3.7
Second
5016
#10
15.91.3
12.613.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End3.5
red by 6.0
7566
#34
9.90.9
9.48.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End4.2
Third
514
#19
11.11.8
9.411.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
red by 1.3
6300
#28
9.90.6
11.610.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed