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Red32
2812.8
826712.5
4965.0
Blue99
234720.4
87042.4
15468.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278002040601001203299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28
#12
12.80.3
11.911.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End5.8
blue by 29.6
870
#1
42.40.5
40.941.4
Auto9.9
Teleop25.8
End6.7
Second
8267
#22
12.50.3
12.812.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End0.2
blue by 8.0
2347
#11
20.40.6
18.619.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End12.0
Third
496
#36
5.00.4
7.36.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.1
End1.6
blue by 3.4
1546
#17
8.40.7
8.49.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned