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Red30
26324.9
640114.9
341924.7
Blue70
69449.1
72727.8
234413.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546702040801001201403070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#14
24.91.5
25.423.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End11.0
blue by 24.2
694
#1
49.10.1
42.442.4
Auto14.6
Teleop22.9
End11.6
Second
3419
#12
24.72.5
13.711.3
Auto5.8
Teleop16.1
End2.8
red by 11.7
2344
#25
13.00.1
9.29.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End4.1
Third
6401
#15
14.91.6
13.111.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End1.6
red by 7.2
7272
#26
7.80.1
9.39.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsMissed