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Red5
28951.2
40124.6
69697.4
Blue45
412219.1
68809.8
45719.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23330406080100120545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6969
#44
7.41.3
9.78.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 11.7
19.11.1
11.612.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End4.8
Second
4012
#42
4.62.0
6.44.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End-1.0
blue by 5.2
6880
#16
9.81.7
7.59.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End2.0
Third
2895
#48
1.22.0
6.94.9
Auto0.4
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
blue by 7.9
4571
#10
9.01.7
10.412.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed