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Red10
859711.2
65936.1
58066.4
Blue12
45719.0
115510.8
37603.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222604060801001201012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8597
#24
11.21.2
7.46.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End3.1
red by 0.3
1155
#30
10.81.7
8.06.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End3.6
Second
5806
#28
6.41.2
5.54.3
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End1.5
blue by 2.6
4571
#10
9.01.7
12.110.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Third
6593
#40
6.11.2
8.06.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End1.6
red by 2.3
3760
#43
3.81.7
3.61.9
Auto0.6
Teleop2.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed