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Red48
2032.5
70367.9
7436.0
Blue39
402727.3
691114.4
542110.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5347204060801004839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#3
32.50.8
29.028.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End8.2
red by 5.2
27.30.4
20.820.4
Auto8.5
Teleop12.9
End5.8
Second
7036
#18
7.91.4
11.710.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End-0.4
blue by 6.5
6911
#13
14.40.4
10.910.5
Auto6.5
Teleop2.8
End5.1
Third
743
#32
6.01.4
7.96.5
Auto1.2
Teleop2.8
End1.9
blue by 4.4
5421
#36
10.40.7
13.412.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed