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Red40
379911.4
32609.8
140517.5
Blue34
150722.9
19112.5
23408.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3451204060804034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#20
17.50.2
13.413.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
blue by 5.4
1507
#18
22.91.2
18.817.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.2
End5.5
Second
3799
#29
11.40.2
10.710.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End3.0
blue by 1.1
191
#25
12.51.3
17.315.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.5
Third
3260
#35
9.80.2
10.410.6
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End3.8
red by 1.4
2340
#34
8.51.2
9.98.7
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed