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Red60
319316.9
301525.9
87029.8
Blue83
63921.5
409315.1
178734.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75644060801001206083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#7
29.80.9
25.524.6
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.0
blue by 4.3
34.11.8
35.437.2
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End12.2
Second
25.90.9
27.826.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.4
End7.8
red by 4.4
639
#3
21.51.8
15.517.3
Auto9.0
Teleop8.1
End4.3
Third
3193
#14
16.91.0
15.714.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End8.0
red by 1.8
4093
#16
15.11.9
10.712.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned