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Red34
217213.3
642113.7
159116.5
Blue86
317315.2
222820.3
178734.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457302060801003486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#11
16.50.9
17.316.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3
blue by 17.6
34.11.2
34.035.2
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End12.2
Second
6421
#23
13.70.9
14.113.3
Auto6.7
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 6.6
2228
#13
20.31.2
19.320.6
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End4.8
Third
2172
#21
13.30.9
14.113.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.4
End8.2
blue by 1.9
3173
#24
15.21.2
12.013.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed56%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed85%Hangar oddsEarned