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Red64
140517.5
300320.3
15856.0
Blue56
790314.4
395111.1
69428.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3858102030507080906456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#19
20.31.9
19.020.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End7.7
blue by 8.4
694
#2
28.80.3
26.526.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Second
1405
#20
17.51.9
15.517.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
red by 3.1
7903
#27
14.40.3
14.114.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End5.8
Third
1585
#37
6.01.9
4.16.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End0.7
blue by 5.1
3951
#28
11.10.3
11.211.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned