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Red58
409315.1
686815.3
150722.9
Blue64
63921.5
5789.3
332422.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52572040801005864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#18
22.90.6
20.220.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.2
End5.5
red by 0.8
3324
#10
22.10.5
22.122.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End6.7
Second
6868
#32
15.30.6
14.715.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.2
blue by 6.1
639
#3
21.50.5
21.421.9
Auto9.0
Teleop8.1
End4.3
Third
4093
#16
15.10.6
14.415.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
red by 5.8
578
#36
9.30.5
9.610.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsMissed