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Red44
301525.9
318117.3
6318.3
Blue71
87029.8
379911.4
155917.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7056204060801004471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.5
25.423.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.4
End7.8
blue by 3.9
870
#7
29.81.0
29.230.2
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.0
Second
63
#12
18.31.5
19.718.2
Auto6.4
Teleop2.5
End9.3
red by 0.6
1559
#30
17.61.0
16.317.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End7.5
Third
3181
#15
17.31.5
18.817.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End6.7
red by 5.9
3799
#29
11.41.0
8.59.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned