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Red43
23408.5
151816.9
300327.6
Blue73
140524.6
99989.4
150725.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5755203040507080904373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#13
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End11.0
red by 2.1
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End4.5
Second
1518
#35
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End7.2
blue by 7.7
1405
#10
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End5.1
Third
2340
#33
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End4.9
blue by 0.9
9.40.0
9.49.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo odds32%Cargo odds
Hangar
82%Hangar odds10%Hangar odds