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Red49
37816.9
686815.3
155920.6
Blue63
99919.4
395111.1
317324.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5938020801001201401604963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#21
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End9.6
blue by 3.7
3173
#14
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End10.3
Second
378
#29
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto7.2
Teleop6.4
End3.2
red by 5.7
3951
#18
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Third
6868
#36
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.2
red by 6.0
9991
#28
9.40.0
9.49.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo odds8%Cargo odds
Hangar
24%Hangar odds40%Hangar odds