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Red35
223416.9
260114.6
445814.5
Blue36
33317.3
66484.3
680613.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373302060803536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.5
17.817.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End11.2
blue by 0.4
333
#10
17.30.8
8.37.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End8.2
Second
2601
#28
14.60.8
7.76.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End5.7
red by 1.1
6806
#20
13.40.8
12.511.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Third
4458
#19
14.50.8
8.47.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End5.5
red by 10.2
6648
#15
4.30.8
10.59.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed