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Red51
331417.8
209515.7
70916.9
Blue42
703013.2
167623.2
412210.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434530405060705142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#36
17.80.6
16.617.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End7.2
blue by 5.4
23.20.2
22.722.5
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End4.5
Second
709
#9
16.90.6
8.99.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End10.4
red by 3.7
7030
#31
13.20.4
8.38.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Third
2095
#23
15.70.6
15.916.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End5.9
red by 5.4
4122
#24
10.30.4
10.29.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed