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Red43
58816.4
445814.5
304413.4
Blue80
301533.9
70916.9
223416.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196704060801001201404380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#19
14.51.7
7.39.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End5.5
blue by 19.4
33.91.3
29.030.3
Auto11.8
Teleop13.1
End9.0
Second
3044
#14
13.41.7
11.212.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End5.4
blue by 3.6
16.91.3
17.719.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End11.2
Third
5881
#18
6.41.7
5.26.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End2.9
blue by 10.5
709
#9
16.91.3
10.311.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsEarned