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Red49
331417.8
26319.5
2509.0
Blue58
640112.0
279125.6
260114.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4245102030506070804958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#12
19.50.2
19.820.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End9.7
blue by 6.1
2791
#13
25.60.9
19.019.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Second
3314
#36
17.80.1
16.716.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End7.2
red by 3.3
2601
#28
14.60.9
10.711.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End5.7
Third
250
#39
9.00.2
3.03.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End2.1
blue by 3.0
6401
#33
12.00.9
12.113.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed