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Red42
66484.3
703013.2
2022.9
Blue35
680613.4
26319.5
58816.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4048102030607080904235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#3
22.90.3
22.022.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End6.2
red by 3.4
263
#12
19.51.2
20.919.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End9.7
Second
7030
#31
13.20.3
13.013.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End2.3
blue by 0.2
6806
#20
13.41.2
14.613.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Third
6648
#15
4.30.3
4.04.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.1
End0.2
blue by 2.1
5881
#18
6.41.2
8.97.7
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsMissed