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Red77
301533.9
501611.0
2295.6
Blue35
331417.8
223416.9
395011.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51572040801007735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.6
34.334.9
Auto11.8
Teleop13.1
End9.0
red by 16.0
3314
#36
17.81.7
19.918.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End7.2
Second
5016
#30
11.00.8
9.610.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 5.9
16.91.7
18.717.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End11.2
Third
229
#40
5.60.8
4.75.6
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End0.5
blue by 6.1
3950
#27
11.62.3
13.911.6
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed88%Hangar oddsMissed