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Red18
597312.6
541311.0
63553.7
Blue57
151816.9
150725.5
57815.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28660204060801001857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5973
#40
12.61.5
12.310.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 13.0
1507
#12
25.50.0
26.126.0
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End4.5
Second
5413
#46
11.01.5
14.713.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 5.9
1518
#15
16.90.0
17.217.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End7.2
Third
6355
#59
3.71.5
4.32.8
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1
blue by 11.5
578
#10
15.20.0
14.114.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsMissed