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Red43
493021.2
131719.1
460110.5
Blue82
217216.9
317324.3
69516.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575840507080904382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#21
21.20.8
20.419.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
blue by 3.0
3173
#11
24.31.3
21.422.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End10.3
Second
19.11.3
21.620.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End10.9
red by 2.3
2172
#25
16.91.3
16.017.4
Auto5.4
Teleop1.9
End9.6
Third
4601
#42
10.51.3
12.411.1
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End3.0
blue by 6.1
695
#32
16.51.3
16.718.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned