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Red54
493021.2
82439.6
57815.2
Blue27
414517.6
78859.2
10386.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453802060801005427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#21
21.20.8
19.620.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
red by 3.6
4145
#45
17.60.6
19.118.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End8.1
Second
578
#10
15.20.8
14.114.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End4.6
red by 6.0
7885
#52
9.21.0
10.49.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End0.5
Third
8243
#27
9.61.3
7.79.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End3.5
red by 3.2
1038
#56
6.41.0
7.06.1
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed